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Written by: Ryan Love
Sunday, 01 November 2009

An extended contraction in lending to Australian business deepened in September, adding to concerns about the health of the sector and arguing for the Reserve Bank to approach raising interest rates cautiously.

Business credit fell by a seasonally-adjusted 1.3% in September from August, the eighth consecutive monthly decline, and its biggest one-month fall since December 2008, according to data provided by the RBA Friday.

Written by: Ryan Love
Tuesday, 20 October 2009

Inflation concerns have returned to the top of the Reserve Bank of Australia's priority list, with the central bank likely to revise up forecasts for inflation and economic growth in early November, which would boost expectations of further interest rate hikes.

In minutes of the central bank's Oct. 6 policy meeting the RBA said rising concerns about inflation triggered its decision to raise rates by one quarter of a percentage point to 3.25% this month.

Written by: Ryan Love
Wednesday, 14 October 2009

Australian consumer confidence rose in October from September for the fifth consecutive month, shrugging off the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate rise of last week.

The Westpac-Melbourne Institute's index of consumer sentiment released rose 1.7% to 121.4 points in October from 119.3 points in September in seasonally adjusted terms.

Written by: Ryan Love
Tuesday, 13 October 2009

Australian business confidence and conditions both fell in September from August, snapping a remarkable rebound on both fronts so far in 2009, according to a monthly survey by National Australia Bank.

Business confidence fell four points to +14 in September from August, while business conditions dropped one point to +3 points, the survey said.

Written by: Ryan Love
Thursday, 08 October 2009

The number of employed Australians surged in September, defying economists' expectations of a fall and firming up expectations of more central bank interest rate increases this year.

Crucially, the numbers released have prompted some analysts to suggest the unemployment rate may have already hit its cyclical peak at a time when the nation's industrialised peers are still facing substantial job losses.

Written by: Ryan Love
Wednesday, 07 October 2009

Australian housing finance fell in August for the second consecutive month as waning government stimulus and expectations of higher interest rates crimped demand for mortgages.

Having enjoyed robust support from first-time homebuyer grants unleashed by the government to pump demand, economists expect home loan supply to correct further in coming months as the central bank embarks on a tightening cycle.

Written by: Ryan Love
Tuesday, 06 October 2009

Sales of new motor vehicles rose a seasonally adjusted 4.9% in September versus August, according to industry figures.

The Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries said 78,131 vehicles were sold in September, or 3.5% less than September 2008 in original terms.

Year-to-date industry sales were 681,974 in September, down 13.1% or 102,958 vehicles from the same time a year earlier.

Written by: Ryan Love
Tuesday, 06 October 2009

Australia's trade gap narrowed in August from July but was much wider than expected as the value of exports failed to improve due to falls in coal exports and a stronger Australian dollar.

Moves in the trade position are unlikely to affect the near-term outlook for monetary policy, but the numbers show any recovery in the global economy is yet to feed through to the nation's trading performance.

Written by: Ryan Love
Tuesday, 06 October 2009

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised interest rates for the first time since March 2008, becoming the first central bank from the Group of 20 to begin withdrawing stimulus that has sustained the economy through the global financial crisis.

The RBA's cautious one-quarter-of-a-percentage point increase in the cash rate target to 3.25% reflects growing confidence in the global outlook and Australia's remarkable performance since Lehman Brothers' demise in September 2008 shook the world.

Written by: Ryan Love
Monday, 05 October 2009

The total number of job advertisements in Australian newspapers and on the internet rose 4.4% in seasonally adjusted terms in September compared with August, Australia & New Zealand Banking Group, which compiles the data from major newspapers, said.

The total number of job advertisements rose to a seasonally adjusted average of 136,070 ads per week, contributing to a 44.9% decline from a year earlier, ANZ said.